Ngo-Okthoba 12, i-International Monetary Fund (IMF) yakhipha umagazini wakamuva we-World Economic Outlook Report (ozobizwa ngokuthi “uMbiko” lapha). I-IMF yaveza ku-“Mbiko” ukuthi izinga lokukhula komnotho wonyaka wonke ka-2021 kulindeleke ukuthi libe ngu-5.9%, kanti izinga lokukhula liphansi ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 kunesibikezelo sikaJulayi. I-IMF ikholelwa ukuthi yize intuthuko yomnotho womhlaba wonke iqhubeka nokusimama, umthelela wobhubhane olusha lwe-crown pneumonia ekuthuthukisweni komnotho uhlala isikhathi eside. Ukusabalala okusheshayo kohlobo lwe-delta kuye kwandisa ukungaqiniseki kwesimo salolu bhubhane, kwanciphisa ukukhula kwemisebenzi, kwanda ukwehla kwamandla emali, ukuvikeleka kokudla, kanye nesimo sezulu. Izinkinga ezifana nezinguquko zilethe izinselelo eziningi kwezomnotho ezahlukene.
“Umbiko” ubikezela ukuthi izinga lokukhula komnotho womhlaba wonke kwikota yesine ka-2021 lizoba ngu-4.5% (iminotho ehlukene iyahlukahluka). Ngo-2021, umnotho weminotho ethuthukile uzokhula ngo-5.2%, ukwehla kwamaphesenti angu-0.4 kusukela esibikezelweni sikaJulayi; umnotho wezimakethe ezisafufusa kanye neminotho ethuthukayo uzokhula ngo-6.4%, ukwanda kwamaphesenti angu-0.1 kusukela esibikezelweni sikaJulayi. Phakathi kweminotho emikhulu yomhlaba, izinga lokukhula kwentuthuko yomnotho lingu-8.0% eShayina, u-6.0% e-United States, u-2.4% eJapan, u-3.1% eJalimane, u-6.8% e-United Kingdom, u-9.5% eNdiya, kanye no-6.3% eFrance. “Umbiko” ubikezela ukuthi umnotho womhlaba kulindeleke ukuthi ukhule ngo-4.9% ngo-2022, okufana nesibikezelo sikaJulayi.
Isazi sezomnotho esikhulu se-IMF uGita Gopinath (Gita Gopinath) uthe ngenxa yezici ezifana nokwehluka kokutholakala kwemithi yokugoma kanye nokusekelwa kwenqubomgomo, amathuba okuthuthukiswa komnotho wezomnotho ahlukahlukene ahlukene, okuyinkinga enkulu ebhekene nokusimama komnotho womhlaba wonke. Ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwezixhumanisi ezibalulekile ochungechungeni lokuhlinzekwa komhlaba kanye nesikhathi sokuphazamiseka side kunalokho obekulindelwe, isimo sokukhuphuka kwamanani emali emnothweni eminingi sibi kakhulu, okuholela ezingozini ezengeziwe zokusimama komnotho kanye nobunzima obukhulu ekuphenduleni kwenqubomgomo.